GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/9/2024, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesDDLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesLambton Jaffas
63.5Attack57.1
54.0Defence47.6
61.9Form34.9
62.1Power46.2
2.31xG1.40
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