GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/25/2023, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

89.1%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesDLLDD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Edgeworth EaglesLake Macquarie
63.5Attack30.3
54.0Defence0.0
61.9Form6.1
62.1Power14.9
4.20xG0.69
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