GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/27/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

89.1%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesWDWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Edgeworth EaglesLake Macquarie
63.5Attack30.3
54.0Defence0.0
61.9Form6.1
62.1Power14.9
4.20xG0.69
View match centre →