GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/5/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

70.0%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesAdamstown Rosebuds
63.5Attack49.2
54.0Defence31.7
61.9Form33.3
62.1Power40.1
3.06xG1.19
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