GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División Femenina · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edf Logrono W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Edf Logrono W 2-3 Granada

Original prediction

Edf Logrono W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3039.4%41.6%2.2 pts
Draw3.1029.2%28.9%-0.3 pts
Away2.8831.4%29.5%-1.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–014%

Predicted outcome

Edf Logrono W

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Edf Logrono W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edf Logrono WLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GranadaDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Edf Logrono WGranada
27.8Attack27.8
61.1Defence50.0
33.3Form38.9
42.8Power42.0
1.17xG0.87
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