Edf Logrono Wvs
Barcelona W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/26/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Edf Logrono W 0-2 Barcelona W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 50.33 | 1.8% | 20.9% | 19.0 pts |
| Draw | 13.13 | 7.1% | 21.8% | 14.7 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 91.1% | 57.4% | -33.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 24 · GA 4 · avg 4.80/0.80