GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División Femenina · 9/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edf Logrono W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Edf Logrono W 0-1 Athletic Club W

Original prediction

Edf Logrono W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2128.2%36.2%8.0 pts
Draw3.1928.3%27.7%-0.6 pts
Away2.0843.5%36.0%-7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Edf Logrono W

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Edf Logrono W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edf Logrono WWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Athletic Club WWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Edf Logrono WAthletic Club W
66.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power88.7
1.60xG1.39
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