GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/1/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Eddersheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EddersheimDWDLW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
EddersheimVfb Marburg
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
55.6Form66.7
62.7Power64.8
1.75xG1.44
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