GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/15/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Eddersheim are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EddersheimLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgLWWLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EddersheimVfb Marburg
66.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
55.6Form66.7
62.7Power64.8
1.75xG1.44
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