GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/8/2024, 5:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Eddersheim are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EddersheimWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FriedbergLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
EddersheimFriedberg
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
55.6Form77.8
62.7Power72.8
1.78xG1.63
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