GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/3/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Eddersheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fernwald are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eddersheim hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EddersheimWDWLL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
EddersheimFernwald
66.7Attack41.7
66.7Defence58.3
55.6Form41.7
62.7Power48.8
1.97xG1.28
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