GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/27/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eddersheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Eddersheim are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Eddersheim hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Eddersheim holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eddersheim

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Eddersheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EddersheimDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bayern AlzenauWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EddersheimBayern Alzenau
66.7Attack44.4
66.7Defence44.4
55.6Form22.2
62.7Power40.2
2.26xG1.30
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