Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
ECUS are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Mauaense are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and ECUS hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Paulista Série B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00