CONMEBOL Nations League WomenCONMEBOL Nations League Women
Tuesday, 9 June 2026Last updated 10:03
Ecuador W

Ecuador W

Home
L
01
Full time
Argentina W

Argentina W

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Argentina W(40%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Argentina W
Win probability
Ecuador W
31%
Draw
30%
Argentina W
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Ecuador W
9
Argentina W
34
Defence
Ecuador W
66
Argentina W
91
Momentum
Ecuador W
0
Argentina W
100
Danger (xG)
Ecuador W
0.00
Argentina W
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Ecuador W)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Argentina W)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Ecuador W)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Argentina W)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Ecuador WEcuador W
L
Argentina WArgentina W
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Ecuador W31%
Draw30%
Argentina W40%

Argentina W leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Ecuador W head into this in CONMEBOL Nations League Women fixture in mixed form (L), while Argentina W arrive in mixed form (W). Ecuador W have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Argentina W over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Ecuador W (66/100) and Argentina W (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Ecuador W have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Argentina W have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Argentina W have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Argentina W to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Ecuador W 3062%, Draw 2965%, Argentina W 3973%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Ecuador W 0Draws 01 Argentina W
Avg goals: 1.0
10 Jun 2026
Ecuador W
L01
Argentina W

Recent form

Ecuador W

Ecuador W

L
vs Argentina W
10 Jun 2026
01
Argentina W

Argentina W

W
@ Ecuador W
10 Jun 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ecuador W vs Argentina W?

GoalVio's model predicts Argentina W to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Ecuador W vs Argentina W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Ecuador W vs Argentina W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ecuador W vs Argentina W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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