Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ecuador · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 27 October 2026 at 02:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Ecuador
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Ecuador has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EcuadorDDLWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BoliviaLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
EcuadorBolivia
46.7Attack19.0
60.0Defence23.8
53.3Form19.0
54.1Power23.5
2.26xG0.73