GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 4/7/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ECU Joondalup · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

ECU Joondalup are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Gwelup Croatia are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gwelup Croatia hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Western Australia State League 1, while ECU Joondalup holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ECU Joondalup

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

ECU Joondalup has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ECU JoondalupLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Gwelup CroatiaLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
ECU JoondalupGwelup Croatia
77.3Attack50.0
7.6Defence35.0
36.4Form40.0
40.6Power43.7
3.29xG2.50
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