GGOALVIO

EC São Bernardo logoEC São BernardovsSão Caetano logoSão Caetano

COMPLETED

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

EC São Bernardo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while São Caetano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and eC São Bernardo hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring a draw with 27.8% confidence, a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

27.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EC São BernardoLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
São CaetanoLDLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
EC São BernardoSão Caetano
20.0Attack13.3
50.0Defence53.3
20.0Form13.3
33.2Power29.6
0.70xG0.62
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