GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 7/14/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

EC São Bernardo are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Portuguesa are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 66.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Copa Paulista, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Portuguesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EC São BernardoWW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
PortuguesaDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
EC São BernardoPortuguesa
20.0Attack44.4
50.0Defence86.1
20.0Form66.7
33.2Power66.4
0.31xG1.35
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