GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

EC São Bernardo U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: EC São Bernardo U20 1-0 Bandeirante U20, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

EC São Bernardo U20 4-1 Bandeirante U20

Original prediction

EC São Bernardo U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4960.2%57.1%-3.0 pts
Draw3.8223.4%25.2%1.9 pts
Away5.4416.4%17.6%1.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.0 pts

Projected Score

EC São Bernardo U20 1–0 Bandeirante U20

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

EC São Bernardo U20

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

EC São Bernardo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EC São Bernardo U20DDWDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bandeirante U20LWLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EC São Bernardo U20Bandeirante U20
36.1Attack27.8
55.6Defence41.7
33.3Form30.6
42.4Power36.3
1.39xG0.67
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