EC São Bernardo U20vs
Bandeirante U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EC São Bernardo U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: EC São Bernardo U20 1-0 Bandeirante U20, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
EC São Bernardo U20 4-1 Bandeirante U20
Original prediction
EC São Bernardo U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.2% | 57.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.4% | 25.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 5.44 | 16.4% | 17.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
EC São Bernardo U20 1–0 Bandeirante U20
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
EC São Bernardo U20
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
EC São Bernardo U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20