Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EBK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
EBK 1-1 GrIFK
Original prediction
EBK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.9% | 43.0% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 22.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 34.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
EBK
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
EBK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EBKWDDLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GrIFKDLDWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
EBKGrIFK
52.4Attack41.3
28.6Defence44.4
31.7Form41.3
38.4Power44.6
1.91xG1.72