Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
Weston-super-Mare
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston-super-Mare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ebbsfleet United 6-1 Weston-super-Mare
Original prediction
Weston-super-Mare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.2% | 35.3% | -14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.3% | 27.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.6% | 37.0% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Weston-super-Mare
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Weston-super-Mare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20