Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
Horsham
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ebbsfleet United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Horsham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ebbsfleet United hold a 11.9-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - South, favouring a draw with 12.8% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.8%
Model confidence
12.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20