Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
Horsham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ebbsfleet United 2-2 Horsham
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.8% | 45.7% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.1% | 27.3% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.1% | 27.1% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80