Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
Hemel Hempstead Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ebbsfleet United 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.6% | 47.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.2% | 27.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.2% | 25.0% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60