Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
Folkestone Invicta
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Folkestone Invicta
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.6% | 40.4% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.3% | 29.0% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.1% | 30.6% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40