Ebbsfleet Unitedvs
AFC Totton
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ebbsfleet United 1-0 AFC Totton, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ebbsfleet United 5-0 AFC Totton
Original prediction
Ebbsfleet United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 66.0% | 51.0% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 20.1% | 26.7% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 6.55 | 13.9% | 22.3% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Projected Score
Ebbsfleet United 1–0 AFC Totton
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80