Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ebbs are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Kitzbühel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ebbs hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ebbs holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ebbs
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Ebbs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40