Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastleigh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastleigh 1-3 Woking
Original prediction
Eastleigh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 33.1% | 37.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.1% | 26.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.8% | 35.8% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Eastleigh
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Eastleigh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EastleighDLWLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
WokingLWDDW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EastleighWoking
39.4Attack51.5
54.5Defence45.5
45.5Form36.4
49.3Power44.7
1.41xG1.27