Eastleighvs
Boston United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastleigh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastleigh 4-2 Boston United
Original prediction
Eastleigh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.5% | 47.4% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.0% | 24.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.5% | 28.1% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Eastleigh
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Eastleigh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60