Eastleighvs
Aldershot Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Eastleigh are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aldershot Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aldershot Town hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 8.6% confidence, a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.0%
Model confidence
8.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40