Easternvs
Southern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Senior Shield · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastern 5-3 Southern District
Original prediction
Eastern
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.3% | 38.1% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 26.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.3% | 35.6% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Eastern
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Eastern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00