Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Eastern are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shatin have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Premier League, while Eastern holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eastern
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
11.0%
Eastern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00