Easternvs
Sham Shui Po
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 10/7/2023, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Eastern are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Sham Shui Po are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 4.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern hold a 52.9-point power-rating edge (76.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.8% in the Premier League, while Eastern holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eastern
Probability
93.8%
Model confidence
93.8%
Eastern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.50/4.50