Easternvs
Kowloon City
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastern 4-0 Kowloon City
Original prediction
Eastern
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.4% | 43.1% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.6% | 25.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.1% | 31.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Eastern
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Eastern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00