GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 2/28/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Eastern United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while South Adelaide Panthers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern United hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 26.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the South Australia State League 1, while Eastern United holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern United

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Eastern United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern UnitedLWLDW

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South Adelaide PanthersWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Eastern UnitedSouth Adelaide Panthers
37.9Attack39.4
33.3Defence6.1
33.3Form22.7
37.2Power26.3
2.23xG1.43
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