GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Eastern Suburbs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

9.4%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern SuburbsWWLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LionsWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Eastern SuburbsLions
51.5Attack86.4
47.0Defence66.7
43.9Form80.3
47.9Power77.2
1.04xG2.80
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