GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 2/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Eastern Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moreland City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Lions hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.9% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Eastern Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Lions

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

68.9%

Eastern Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern LionsWDWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Moreland CityDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eastern LionsMoreland City
51.4Attack42.0
47.2Defence15.9
36.1Form18.8
45.4Power29.1
2.95xG1.18
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