Eastern Districtvs
Eastern
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastern District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastern District 2-2 Eastern
Original prediction
Eastern District
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.3% | 39.8% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 24.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.7% | 35.9% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Eastern District
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Eastern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80