Eastbourne Boroughvs
Welling United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Welling United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastbourne Borough 1-0 Welling United
Original prediction
Welling United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.6% | 31.9% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.4% | 43.1% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Welling United
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Welling United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20