Eastbourne Boroughvs
Chatham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eastbourne Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eastbourne Borough 2-1 Chatham Town
Original prediction
Eastbourne Borough
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.2% | 39.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 23.2% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.7% | 37.5% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Eastbourne Borough
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Eastbourne Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20