East Stirlingshirevs
Broxburn Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Broxburn Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Stirlingshire 1-2 Broxburn Athletic
Original prediction
Broxburn Athletic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 23.7% | 18.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.4% | 20.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 53.8% | 61.0% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Broxburn Athletic
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Broxburn Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40