East Riffavs
Sitra
COMPLETEDBahrain · Premier League · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sitra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Riffa 0-0 Sitra
Original prediction
Sitra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.41 | 26.7% | 29.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.0% | 27.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.3% | 43.5% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Sitra
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Sitra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
East RiffaLLDLW
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SitraWWWLW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
East RiffaSitra
0.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power97.0
1.19xG1.71