East Riffavs
Muharraq
COMPLETEDBahrain · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muharraq · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Riffa 0-1 Muharraq
Original prediction
Muharraq
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.18 | 14.6% | 23.1% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.5% | 24.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.9% | 52.2% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Muharraq
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Muharraq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80