GGOALVIO

Bahrain · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Riffa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

East Riffa 0-2 Al-Hidd

Original prediction

East Riffa

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4137.9%46.8%8.9 pts
Draw3.2228.3%25.2%-3.1 pts
Away2.7033.8%28.0%-5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

East Riffa

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

East Riffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

East RiffaLDLWW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al-HiddWWLLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
East RiffaAl-Hidd
44.0Attack44.0
57.3Defence48.0
44.0Form38.7
50.4Power45.8
1.49xG1.01
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