East Riffavs
A'Ali
COMPLETEDBahrain · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Riffa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Riffa 2-1 A'Ali
Original prediction
East Riffa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.6% | 39.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.9% | 29.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.5% | 31.1% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
East Riffa
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
East Riffa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00