East Kilbridevs
Peterhead
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Kilbride · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Kilbride 3-1 Peterhead
Original prediction
East Kilbride
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.2% | 50.5% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 24.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.1% | 25.1% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
East Kilbride
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
East Kilbride has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80