East Kilbridevs
Montrose
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Kilbride · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Kilbride 1-1 Montrose
Original prediction
East Kilbride
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.0% | 67.4% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.2% | 17.4% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 20.8% | 15.2% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
East Kilbride
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
East Kilbride has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40