East Kilbridevs
Hamilton Academical
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Kilbride 0-1 Hamilton Academical
Original prediction
Hamilton Academical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.3% | 28.3% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.4% | 24.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.3% | 47.6% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Hamilton Academical
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80