East Kilbridevs
Airdrie United
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Kilbride · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Kilbride 2-2 Airdrie United
Original prediction
East Kilbride
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.6% | 51.9% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.3% | 26.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.13 | 22.2% | 22.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
East Kilbride
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
East Kilbride has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60