GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stenhousemuir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

East Fife are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Stenhousemuir are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stenhousemuir hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the League Two, while Stenhousemuir holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Stenhousemuir

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Stenhousemuir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

East FifeDDLLD

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StenhousemuirLDDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
East FifeStenhousemuir
42.6Attack46.3
56.5Defence71.3
40.7Form63.0
47.4Power61.4
0.75xG1.16
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