East Fifevs
Ross County
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ross County · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
East Fife 2-2 Ross County
Original prediction
Ross County
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.51 | 14.0% | 23.0% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.2% | 26.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 63.7% | 50.6% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Ross County
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60